
On the railway last year began to carry less cargo (and the volume of freight and cargo turnover amounted to approximately 90% compared to 2008). But on a 4% increased transportation of passengers.
Road transport of goods transported by 2% less than in 2008, but by increasing the range of road transport has increased throughput - up 4%. At the same increased passenger vehicles and passenger.
Judging by statistics, civil aviation, passengers simply "relocated" from planes to trains and buses. Here the carriage of passengers declined by almost 3%, the passenger - on 4,3%. Decreased and air cargo traffic - more than 10%.
But on the maritime transport sector achieved a real breakthrough. The volume of cargo transportation by sea last year increased by more than two. In this case, transshipment of dry cargo through the Aktau port in 2009 amounted to 2.6 million tonnes against 1.8 million in 2008. Were taken mainly metals and grains. It is noteworthy that in other countries of the former Soviet Union in the past, there was a decline in traffic. In Ukraine, the carriage of goods by water transport decreased by 50% to 9,7 million tons. A turnover of the port of Klaipeda (Lithuania) - on 6,7% - to 27,8 million tons.
Total revenue of transport in 2009 amounted to 911 billion tenge. 51% of them gave the railway (in 2008 - 55%), 30% - pipeline (25%), 10% - Air (9,6%), 9% - Automobile (8,9%).
However, this structure is in our opinion does not reflect the real situation in the industry. This conclusion is based on the following. 80% of freight and 99% of passenger traffic falls on road transport. The share of its income is only 8%. This is either evidence of significantly lower rates compared to other transport modes, the least likely to either cause is a significant fraction of shady business in this area. The second apparently prevails, which makes us doubt the official statistics on the structure of income by type of transport.
In general, the transport industry in 2009 produced 1,293 billion tenge value against 1372 billion in 2008, The share of transport in the country's GDP in 2009 amounted to 8,1% against 8,5% in 2008, however, decrease Transport share in GDP, in our view, only temporary and due to the crisis. In the near future, as the infrastructure projects sector, the share of transport services in the country's GDP should grow significantly.
The beginning of 2010 was characterized by positive developments in the industry and promote a positive attitude of the Government of the early economic recovery.
In January 2010, compared with the corresponding period last year, growth was observed as the volume of freight (an index of growth of 115%), and the volume of passenger traffic (117%). The index of revenue volume of services provided by all modes of transport in January 2010 compared with the corresponding period last year amounted to 109%.
Factor that will likely keep appearing in the current year trend growth of the industry, will be establishing the Customs Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan. As a result, on the one hand, may increase the volume of cargo between the countries of the Customs Union, on the other hand, the proposed unification of tariffs and simplify customs procedures to increase cargo flows between them, the easier access of Kazakh carrier to the transport infrastructure of Russia and Belarus, which has a positive impact on volumes of cargo.
Growth in freight traffic has also contributed to the state policy in the transport sector. This in particular led to the fact that Kazakhstan in 2009, took 62 th out of 155 countries in the Logistics Performance Index LPI World Bank. Compared with the previous survey, which was in 2007, Kazakhstan moved up 71 positions up. In this case, 83% of respondents reported improvement of logistics services in the private sector, 57% - improving the procedures of customs clearance, and 64% said that the imports are almost always executed and delivered on time. However, respondents noted the challenges associated with corruption, complexity and opacity of the customs clearance procedures. Thus, the measures taken by the state in reducing corruption in transport give its effect. But work in this direction is still very much, judging by the claims of domestic carriers, presented them to the customs authorities
In 2010, the Ministry of Transport and Communications expected to increase freight by 10%, which seems very optimistic. If we start from the expected growth in 2010, the growth in freight is likely to be around 2,5-3%.
Analytical Service Media Holding Business Resource.
Published 26.07.2011 г.